Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.000536 0.000614 0.000697 0.000792 0.000896 0.001008 0.001136
2025-07-13 0.000426 0.000535 0.000660 0.000812 0.000991 0.001193 0.001438
2025-07-20 0.000365 0.000489 0.000637 0.000826 0.001056 0.001327 0.001665
2025-07-27 0.000310 0.000440 0.000603 0.000818 0.001091 0.001420 0.001844
2025-08-03 0.000264 0.000397 0.000569 0.000804 0.001112 0.001493 0.001996
2025-08-10 0.000236 0.000372 0.000556 0.000813 0.001159 0.001597 0.002187
2025-08-17 0.000210 0.000347 0.000538 0.000814 0.001193 0.001685 0.002358
2025-08-24 0.000179 0.000312 0.000503 0.000788 0.001189 0.001720 0.002460
2025-08-31 0.000154 0.000282 0.000473 0.000764 0.001185 0.001753 0.002559
2025-09-07 0.000138 0.000264 0.000458 0.000762 0.001209 0.001824 0.002708
2025-09-14 0.000124 0.000249 0.000445 0.000762 0.001236 0.001898 0.002863
2025-09-21 0.000111 0.000231 0.000429 0.000753 0.001249 0.001952 0.002991
2025-09-28 0.000097 0.000213 0.000409 0.000739 0.001254 0.001995 0.003106
2025-10-05 0.000091 0.000208 0.000411 0.000759 0.001311 0.002115 0.003332
2025-10-12 0.000085 0.000201 0.000408 0.000772 0.001356 0.002218 0.003536
2025-10-19 0.000076 0.000189 0.000395 0.000765 0.001371 0.002276 0.003676
2025-10-26 0.000067 0.000175 0.000378 0.000752 0.001374 0.002317 0.003791
2025-11-02 0.000062 0.000168 0.000375 0.000760 0.001412 0.002410 0.003985
2025-11-09 0.000056 0.000160 0.000367 0.000761 0.001437 0.002484 0.004152
2025-11-16 0.000049 0.000146 0.000346 0.000736 0.001418 0.002491 0.004217
2025-11-23 0.000042 0.000133 0.000326 0.000714 0.001403 0.002500 0.004286
2025-11-30 0.000038 0.000126 0.000318 0.000711 0.001420 0.002561 0.004435
2025-12-07 0.000034 0.000120 0.000312 0.000711 0.001442 0.002630 0.004596